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Guns, Germs and Carbon: post-Colombian pandemics drive global cooling

14. January 2009 by Erle 1 Comments

Burning for agriculture in the Americas

Diseases introduced by Europeans after 1492 are now known to have caused massive population declines in the Americas, and the failure of ancient agricultural systems across huge regions, many of which depended on the regular burning of forests. 

Now, researchers, led by Richard Nevle and Dennis Bird have investigated the climate consequences of this massive decline in agriculture and the burning of forests in the Americas, and demonstrated that the carbon stored in soils and vegetation as a result drove global cooling by taking carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, helping to explain the "Little Ice Age" of the 1500s to 1900s.

This is really a groundbreaking paper, further demonstrating the major role of preindustrial human populations in altering global climate, and further strengthens Bill Ruddiman's Early Anthropocene Hypothesis.

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Laurence Aurbach
United States Laurence Aurbach said:

From the Ruddiman paper: "Overall, it appears that prehistoric agriculture likely caused at least 1/3 of the total global warming that humans have caused."

From the Mongabay article about the Nevle and Bird paper: "Recovery of forests following the collapse of human populations in the Americas after the arrival of Europeans may have driven the period of global cooling from 1500-1750 known as the Little Ice Age"

This has big implications for global greenhouse gas policy. Up 'till now there's been a lot of talk about fairness, and that the U.S. and Europe are responsible for most of the greenhouse gases that have built up in the atmosphere since the industrial revolution -- and so therefore the West should bear the brunt of greenhouse gas reductions. Now this new research says Asia has had a large, long-term effect, and the Americas (inadvertently) helped reverse global warming for a while. Maybe the only workable solution will be to work toward a uniform greenhouse gas cap in all nations regardless of their past emissions.

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